Public Opinion Strategies for the US Chamber of Commerce (late May):
Jeff Merkley (D): 34
Gordon Smith (R-inc): 38
John Frohnmayer (I): 11
Undecided: 16
(MoE: ?)
This poll is a bit dated, as the inclusion of Frohnmayer clearly shows. Frohnmayer’s left-of-center campaign was expected to siphon more votes from Merkley than Smith, so this poll might have been even more favorable to Merkley if it was a head-to-head match-up.
It’s very encouraging — 38% is an atrocious performance for an incumbent — but I’d like to see some more pollsters dip their toes into this race.
The numbers seem very low compared to ther polls. I know Smith is weak, but I doubt he’s below 42-45%.
Would really appreciate some actual dates for that poll…
If Smith really is below 40%, there is no way he wins.
as it relates to smith’s vulnerability; why else do you think smith’s current ads having him basically endorsing OBAMA?
maybe it was true, but i don’t care much about month-old polls with different candidates.
I probably don’t know or haven’t thought of something, but why do you say it’s a GOP poll?